As of April 25, 2026, the impeachment side is currently winning the legal/procedural and national-survey narrative, while VP Sara’s camp still has a strong loyalist base online, especially among Duterte supporters and pro-Duterte media spaces.

Why impeachers are ahead now:

The House hearings are moving forward, with the April 22 hearing focused on financial records and allegations, and GMA tracked it as an active impeachment proceeding.

Public polling has shifted against VP Sara’s camp: OCTA reported 69% of adult Filipinos support a Senate impeachment trial, with 28% opposed and 3% undecided. A newer WR Numero-related report cited by PNA says 88% want VP Sara to face a Senate impeachment trial.

Her camp is fighting back legally and politically, but their repeated non-attendance at House hearings is being framed by critics as a weakness or “waiver” risk. Inquirer reported she will not attend the April 29 hearing.

Where VP Sara is still strong:

VP Sara remains strong among Duterte loyalists, pro-Duterte Facebook groups, Mindanao-based supporters, and pro-Duterte YouTube/commentary ecosystems. YouTube searches show high engagement on defense-team press conferences and NET25/GMA livestreams, including videos with tens of thousands to 100K+ views.

But visible social media support is not the same as national majority support. Online Duterte supporters are loud and organized, while the survey data currently suggests the broader national public wants her to answer the allegations in a Senate trial.

Who is winning?

Right now: the impeachers are winning momentum.
They have the House process, stronger recent survey numbers, and a public accountability narrative.

VP Sara’s camp is not defeated.
Their best path is legal technicality, Senate numbers, loyalist mobilization, and framing the case as political persecution.

Bottom line:
If the question is public trial sentiment, the impeachers are ahead.
If the question is hardcore political base, VP Sara still has strong defenders.
If the question is final outcome, it is still undecided until the Senate trial/vote path becomes clear.